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Economy, Macro & Market Cycles

Market Cap to GDP Ratio

The total market capitalisation of listed companies divided by the country's gross domestic product.

Formula Market Cap to GDP = Total Market Capitalisation of Listed Companies / Nominal GDP x 100
Unit %

In depth

Sometimes called the Buffett indicator, the ratio compares the value of listed equity against the size of the economy that produces its earnings. Its central weakness is that the numerator and denominator are not measuring the same universe: listed companies are not the whole economy, and their profits can include substantial foreign earnings. Structural changes such as more companies listing, or profits shifting toward listed firms, raise the ratio permanently without indicating overvaluation. India's ratio has moved through a wide range over the decades, and no level of it predicts returns, which this dictionary does not suggest it does.

Worked example

Total market capitalisation of ₹400 lakh crore against nominal GDP of ₹327 lakh crore gives a ratio of 122%. The same ratio a decade ago corresponded to a different mix of listed companies and a different profit share.

Illustrative figures, chosen so the arithmetic is easy to follow. Not a live price and not a valuation of any company.

Educational reference only

This entry explains what “Market Cap to GDP Ratio” means. It is not investment advice and not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any numbers above are illustrative, not live prices, and nothing here predicts price direction or rates a stock. Consider your own circumstances and consult a SEBI-registered investment adviser before acting.