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Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

Gordon Growth Model

A single-stage dividend discount model that values a share assuming dividends grow at a constant rate forever.

Formula Value = Next Year's Dividend / (Required Return - Constant Growth Rate)
Unit

In depth

The model's usefulness lies less in the value it produces than in what it reveals about sensitivity: because the denominator is a difference between two similar numbers, a one-point change in either input moves the answer enormously. It requires growth to be permanently below the required return, and it breaks entirely if that condition fails. The same arithmetic underlies terminal value in a DCF, which is why terminal assumptions carry so much weight. Its constant-growth assumption is never literally true, so it suits mature businesses and long-run terminal periods rather than companies in transition.

Worked example

Next year's dividend ₹1.26, required return 12%, growth 5%: value = 1.26 / 0.07 = ₹18. Raise growth to 7% and value becomes 1.26 / 0.05 = ₹25.20 — a 40% increase from two percentage points.

Illustrative figures, chosen so the arithmetic is easy to follow. Not a live price and not a valuation of any company.

Educational reference only

This entry explains what “Gordon Growth Model” means. It is not investment advice and not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any numbers above are illustrative, not live prices, and nothing here predicts price direction or rates a stock. Consider your own circumstances and consult a SEBI-registered investment adviser before acting.