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Economy, Macro & Market Cycles

Core Inflation

Inflation excluding food and fuel, whose prices are volatile and driven largely by supply conditions.

Formula Core Inflation = Headline Inflation computed on the basket excluding food and fuel components
Unit %

In depth

Core inflation is watched by central banks because monetary policy cannot influence a failed monsoon or a crude price spike, but it can influence the persistent, demand-driven component. Excluding food is analytically defensible and politically awkward in India, where food is nearly half the basket and most of what households actually experience. Core inflation is stickier than headline, so it falls more slowly and signals whether a price shock has fed into wages and general prices. Divergence between the two is informative: headline above core is a supply shock, core above headline suggests broad demand pressure.

Worked example

Headline inflation at 7.1% with core at 4.6% points to food and fuel driving the gap. Six months later the same food shock has passed and headline may fall below core without any policy change.

Illustrative figures, chosen so the arithmetic is easy to follow. Not a live price and not a valuation of any company.

Educational reference only

This entry explains what “Core Inflation” means. It is not investment advice and not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any numbers above are illustrative, not live prices, and nothing here predicts price direction or rates a stock. Consider your own circumstances and consult a SEBI-registered investment adviser before acting.