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Risk & Portfolio Management

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Strategic Asset Allocation Risk & Portfolio Management % A long-term target mix of asset classes based on objectives and risk capacity, held through market conditions. Test: target weights are set for the long term and changed only when circumstances change, not when markets move Stress Testing Risk & Portfolio Management % Estimating how a portfolio would perform under specified severe but plausible adverse scenarios. Test: apply a defined set of shocks to prices, rates, spreads and correlations, and compute the resulting portfolio value Systematic Risk Risk & Portfolio Management qualitative Risk affecting the entire market that cannot be removed by diversification. Test: the risk arises from factors common to all assets, such as interest rates, inflation, policy or global shocks Tactical Asset Allocation Risk & Portfolio Management % Short-term deviations from a strategic allocation, intended to exploit expected differences in asset class returns. Test: actual weights differ from strategic targets by a bounded amount, with a stated basis and a horizon for reverting Tail Risk Risk & Portfolio Management qualitative The risk of rare, extreme outcomes that sit far in the tails of the return distribution. Test: outcomes beyond three standard deviations occur far more often than a normal distribution would imply Time Horizon Risk & Portfolio Management years The period before an investor needs to draw on the money invested. Test: the date at which the capital, or a stated portion of it, must be available for spending Tracking Error Risk & Portfolio Management % The standard deviation of the difference between a portfolio's returns and its benchmark's. Tracking Error = Standard Deviation of (Portfolio Return - Benchmark Return) over the period Treynor Ratio Risk & Portfolio Management ratio (x, times) Return above the risk-free rate per unit of systematic risk, measured by beta. Treynor Ratio = (Portfolio Return - Risk-Free Rate) / Portfolio Beta Unsystematic Risk Risk & Portfolio Management qualitative Risk specific to a single company or sector that can be reduced by holding a diversified portfolio. Test: the risk arises from factors particular to one issuer or industry rather than from market-wide conditions Value at Risk Risk & Portfolio Management The loss a portfolio is not expected to exceed over a stated period at a stated confidence level. Parametric VaR = Portfolio Value x Z-score for the confidence level x Standard Deviation of Returns over the period Variance Risk & Portfolio Management % The average of the squared deviations of returns from their mean. Variance = Sum of (Return - Mean Return) squared / Number of Observations Volatility Risk & Portfolio Management % The degree to which an asset's returns vary around their average, usually measured as annualised standard deviation. Annualised Volatility = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns x square root of 252